
Now City Homes
Aggregate massive demand for high quality factory built multi-family buildings by driving cost below $200/sq ft with technology and design.
November 2026
The West Coast is 238,000 homes a year short, because apartments cost too much to build.
One system: aggregate the demand, then design everything around it from first principles.

AI in every step
From product development to sales, logistics, construction and operations.

Robots off and on site
Robotic framing lines [6]; robotic layout and lifting on site.

Autonomous electric delivery
Rail and trucks along I-5; heavy autonomous trucks testing in California, with a safety driver [7].
TAM $95B, SAM $15.4B, SOM $881M a year.
Priced on the Portland prototype home, 694 square feet, smaller than average. SAM uses 2025, a cycle low.
4$350 to $200 a square foot: evidence supports the first $50; the system design has to deliver the rest.
Our estimates. Factory production cuts hard cost 10 to 25% with steady orders [13]. Nobody builds a West Coast mid-rise for $200 today; the pilot measures it.
5A supply network that grows with the orders, not a fixed set of factories.

Components
Mills and makers near ports, on ten-year volume

Robotic hubs
On rail lines, on surplus, mall and office land

Autonomous freight
Rail and electric trucks on corridors already built

Robotic assembly
Buildings go up in weeks
Concept renderings; historic photograph of the Willamette Valley electric line.
6One frame, four kinds of home, made from the same parts.



California buildings use two stairs until the state allows one.
7The Now City stack adds value beyond the building itself.

- Land: rail, surplus, mall and office sites assembled into districts
- Underwriting: Upside Explorer finds what makes each project pencil
- Time: less construction interest, earlier rent
- Operations: shared systems; each building improves the next
Not counted in the financials.
8$881.2M a year from year 8. Peak cash $45.7M, break-even year 7.
Our assumptions: $200 a square foot, 12% margin, 10% of SAM by year 8. Low case (8% margin, 5% share): $77.8M peak, no break-even in ten years.
9Ten-year buyer commitments finance the network.
Letters of intent, then framework agreements with deposits.
10US factories failed on uneven orders. Sweden's catalog, on multi-year orders, built about 10,000 apartments.
| Katerra | Design, factories and contracting at once | Bankrupt 2021 [3] |
| Factory_OS | Modules, California | Closed 2026 [5] |
| Kombohus | Public buyers, one catalog | About 9,500 to 11,000 apartments [16] |
Two co-founders, roughly equal owners, and two senior advisors.
Erik Gillberg, CEO
Product and go-to-market. 30 years in property operations, 20 in technology.
Ritchie Ju, COO
Sales. Architecture and urban design, Carnegie Mellon and Columbia.
Neal Payton and Michael H. Shuman
Urban design at Torti Gallas; local economies and capital.
First hires
Supply chain, engineering, robotics, AI, sales.
$7.2M for year 1, $45.7M to break-even, and letters of intent.
Sources
- BAE Urban Economics for the City of Portland, Inclusionary Housing Calibration Findings, July 2023. https://www.sightline.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Portland-Inclusionary-Housing-Revised-Calibration-Findings-7-7-2023-1.pdf
- San Francisco Planning, Housing Production Development Pipeline, 2026 Q2. https://sfplanning.org/sites/default/files/documents/reports/Housing_Production_Development_Pipeline-2026Q2.pdf
- ProBuilder, 2021, on Katerra's bankruptcy and the sale of its Tracy plant. https://probuilder.com/modular-builder-vbc-verge-25-million-buy-katerra-assets
- TechCrunch, "Prefab home builder Veev reportedly shutting down", November 2023. https://techcrunch.com/2023/11/27/prefab-home-builder-veev-reportedly-shutting-down-after-reaching-unicorn-status-last-year
- Vallejo Sun, February 2026, and Offsite Innovators, "Farewell to Harbinger", September 2026, on the closure of Factory_OS (renamed Harbinger). https://offsiteinnovators.com/farewell-to-harbinger-a-factory-that-proved-modular-could-build-at-scale/
- US Department of Energy, "Transformative Efficiency and Automation in Modular Homes" (GTI Energy with Dvele, Loma Linda, California), updated March 2025. https://www.energy.gov/eere/buildings/transformative-efficiency-and-automation-modular-homes-teamh
- Automotive World, "California grants Kodiak AI autonomous trucking permit", August 2026. https://www.automotiveworld.com/news/california-grants-kodiak-ai-autonomous-trucking-permit/
- California HCD, Statewide Housing Plan (2022): about 2.5 million homes over the sixth housing cycle, as reported by CalMatters, August 2026. https://calmatters.org/housing/2026/08/california-rhna-housing-affordable-progress/
- Washington Department of Commerce, "Washington state will need more than 1 million homes in next 20 years", March 2023. https://www.commerce.wa.gov/washington-state-will-need-more-than-1-million-homes-in-next-20-years/
- Oregon Office of Economic Analysis, Oregon Housing Needs Analysis 2026 production targets, December 2025. https://www.oregon.gov/das/oea/Documents/OHNA-2026-Results-Report.pdf
- US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, state annual files 2019 to 2025 and January to September 2026. https://www.census.gov/construction/bps/
- US Census Bureau, Building Permits Survey, metro (CBSA) annual files 2024 and 2025. https://www2.census.gov/econ/bps/CBSA%20(beginning%20Jan%202024)/
- Terner Center, testimony to the California Assembly Select Committee on Housing Construction Innovation, January 6, 2026. https://ternercenter.berkeley.edu/blog/testimony-to-the-select-committee-on-housing-construction-innovation/
- Enterprise Community Partners, "Assessing the Potential of Transit Agency-Owned Land for Housing Development in California", March 2026. https://enterprisecommunity.org/sites/default/files/2026-03/Enterprise-Transit-Agency-Land-Use-Report.pdf
- Mall redevelopment plans: Stonestown (CBS News SF, July 2024), The Rise at Vallco (SV@Home, February 2026), Westminster (CoStar), Lloyd Center (Axios Portland, February 2026), Northgate (The Urbanist, 2024), Tanforan (CEQAnet SCH 2023120409). https://cbsnews.com/sanfrancisco/news/sf-stonestown-galleria-3500-new-homes-final-approval-board-of-supervisors
- Sveriges Allmännytta, "Public housing: Sweden's Kombohus"; Unihouse on the 2020 six-year framework. https://sverigesallmannytta.se/in-english/public-housing-swedens-kombohus